🔔 Market Wrap Briefing

U.S. stocks drifted higher Wednesday, extending the rally that has put all three major indexes at or near fresh record closes. Gains were broad but modest as traders weighed a light data calendar against persistent geopolitical risks. CoreWeave plunged after posting weaker-than-expected earnings, pulling down several AI-adjacent names, while oil prices hovered ahead of Friday’s White House deadline for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire proposal.

Bond yields eased as investors positioned for a potential September Fed rate cut, while a softer dollar gave a lift to commodity-linked stocks. The tone heading into Asia’s Thursday open remains constructive. Breadth is holding, leadership is rotating, and risk appetite is proving resilient even with headline risk in play.

Will the Fed Cut Rates in September?

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After the Bell — Quick Stats

As of Aug 13, 2025 – 4:47 PM ET

Closes reflect today’s session; commodities/FX were still ticking near the close.

Market Last Change % Chg
S&P 500 6,466.58 +20.82 +0.32%
Nasdaq 21,713.14 +31.236 +0.14%
Dow Jones 44,922.27 +463.66 +1.04%
Russell 2000 2,328.057 +45.278 +1.98%
VIX 14.49 -0.24 -1.63%
WTI Crude 62.69 -0.48 -0.76%
Gold 3,406.90 +7.90 +0.23%
U.S. Dollar Index 97.791 -0.306 -0.31%
  • Tone: Broad green with small-cap leadership; vol still subdued.
  • Watch next: After-hours moves in AI-adjacent names; Asia open.
  • Macro: Softer dollar aiding commodities into the overnight.

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Bullish IPO Pops as Crypto Appetite Stays Strong

Bullish (BLSH) pops on Nasdaq debut, opening well above the offer and reminding Wall Street that appetite for regulated crypto exposure is still alive. Backed by Richard Li and ex-NYSE chief Tom Farley, Bullish is pitching a high-liquidity venue built for institutions.

Why it matters: This is a sentiment check on crypto in public markets. If day-one turnover stays heavy and spreads stay tight, the trade broadens beyond tokens to listed picks and shovels. If liquidity fades, expect a quick round trip. Two tells: post-open depth on the book and how quickly options list.

Trader Takeaway: Treat it like any hot listing. Momentum setups are there, but first pullbacks can be violent. Size down, define risk, and let volume confirm.

Amazon’s Grocery Push Pressures Rivals

Amazon is redrawing the grocery map, rolling Whole Foods and Amazon Fresh into a single, same-day delivery platform. The scale play does not just target consumer convenience; it puts direct margin pressure on delivery apps and traditional grocers who cannot match Amazon’s logistics muscle.

Macro Watch: It is another chapter in the tech-enabled squeeze on legacy industries. For grocery, that means sharper price competition, tighter delivery economics, and faster consolidation in a sector where profit margins are already razor thin.

Investor Perspective: When a low-margin category meets a scale-driven disrupter, incumbents often face a choice: merge, specialize, or fade. The winners will be those that find defensible niches before Amazon defines the new baseline.

Cava Cuts Sales Outlook on Slower Dining

Cava (CAVA) served a reality check to the high-growth fast-casual space, trimming its full-year sales forecast on signs of softer discretionary dining. CEO Brett Schulman pointed to a “fog” in consumer behavior, an echo of recent caution from Chipotle and Sweetgreen.

Sector read-through: Restaurant comps are hitting tougher year-over-year laps, while rising food costs and trade-down behavior chip away at margins. For chains catering to higher-income urban diners, this could mark the start of a soft patch after years of expansion.

Allocation Angle: Consumer discretionary is showing a split tape with luxury holding and mid-tier casual dining weakening. Watch for capital rotation toward staples or defensive food names if the slowdown accelerates.

CoreWeave Earnings Spark Debate

CoreWeave’s post-earnings drop has split the Street. Revenue came in light, sending shares sharply lower, and the debate is now whether heavy CapEx is planting seeds for market-share dominance or simply eroding margins in a crowded AI buildout race.

Bulls are betting that today’s spend fuels tomorrow’s moat. Bears see customer concentration risk and a reminder that AI infrastructure growth is not linear and will not be priced that way.

Opportunity Zone: This is a volatility trade until proven otherwise. For aggressive entries, watch for stabilization in volumes and any signs that backlog is converting into recurring, high-margin workloads.

Apple’s AI Overhaul Takes Shape

Apple’s AI overhaul is taking shape. Bloomberg reports a more conversational Siri, robotics for home use, and AI-powered security cameras are all in development. The initiative is aimed at closing the gap with rivals in generative AI.

What’s Changing: If Apple delivers, these features could reignite the hardware upgrade cycle, particularly if AI is deeply integrated across devices. The real test will be whether developers adopt the tools and consumers see enough value to pay for AI-driven functionality.

Closing View

Weeks like this are where the market’s surface calm hides a lot of undercurrents. Earnings are moving single stocks, but the bigger story is the reshuffling of leadership, moving away from “anything with momentum” and toward companies that can still flex pricing power when the cycle turns. That is not a momentum killer; it is a quality filter.

The macro mix, with softer yields, a weaker dollar, and investors still willing to take on risk, keeps the wind at the market’s back. But in this tape, the winners are proving demand durability, not just telling a good growth story. The smart money is already leaning that way. The rest will catch on when the headlines do.

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